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Linear Moving Average

Also referred to as weighted moving average.  Unlike the simple moving average where each observation receives the same weight, this method computes a different weight for each observation before computing the weighted mean as a forecast.  In most cases, more recent observations receive a greater weight than older observations.  For example, in a 3-week moving average the most recent observation receives a weight that is 3 times as great as that given to the oldest observation (e.g. 3/6 versus 1/6).  The middle observation’s weight would be twice that of the oldest observation (2/6).

 


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